Assessment of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health services use.

Objectives: The coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic declared by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020 impacted healthcare services with provider and patient cancellations, delays, and patient avoidance or delay of emergency department or urgent care. Limited data exist on the population proportion affected by delayed healthcare, which is important for future healthcare planning efforts. Our objective was to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare service cancellations or delays and delays/avoidance of emergency/urgent care overall and by population characteristics. Study design: This was a cross-sectional study. Methods: Our sample (n = 2314) was assembled through a phone survey from 8/12/2020-10/27/2020 among non-institutionalized St. Louis County, Missouri, USA residents ≥18 years. We asked about provider and patient-initiated cancellations or delays of appointments and pandemic-associated delays/avoidance of emergency/urgent care overall and by participant characteristics. We calculated weighted prevalence estimates by select resident characteristics. Results: Healthcare services cancellations or delays affected ∼54% (95% CI 50.6%-57.1%) of residents with dental (31.1%, 95% CI 28.1%-34.0%) and primary care (22.1%, 95% CI 19.5%-24.6%) being most common. The highest prevalences were among those who were White, ≥65 years old, female, in fair/poor health, who had health insurance, and who had ≥1 medical condition. Delayed or avoided emergency/urgent care impacted ∼23% (95% CI 19.9%-25.4%) of residents with a higher prevalence in females than males. Conclusions: Healthcare use disruptions impacted a substantial proportion of residents. Future healthcare planning efforts should consider these data to minimize potential morbidity and mortality from delayed care.

SARS-CoV-2 active infection prevalence and seroprevalence in the adult population of St. Louis County.

BACKGROUND: The true prevalence of COVID-19 is difficult to estimate due to the absence of random population-based testing. To estimate current and past COVID-19 infection prevalence in a large urban area, we conducted a population-based survey in St. Louis County, Missouri. METHODS: The population-based survey of active infection (PCR) and seroprevalence (IgG antibodies) of adults (≥18 years) was conducted through random-digit dialing and targeted sampling of St. Louis County residents with oversampling of Black residents. Infection prevalence of residents was estimated using design-based and raking weighting. RESULTS: Between August 17 and October 24, 2020, 1245 residents completed a survey and underwent PCR testing; 1073 residents completed a survey and underwent PCR and IgG testing or self-reported results. Weighted prevalence estimates of residents with active infection were 1.9% (95% CI, 0.4%-3.3%) and 5.6% were ever infected (95% CI, 3.3%-8.0%). Overall infection hospitalization and fatality ratios were 4.9% and 1.4%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Through October 2020, the percentage of residents that had ever been infected was relatively low. A markedly higher percentage of Black and other minorities compared to White residents were infected with COVID-19. The St. Louis region remained highly vulnerable to widespread infection in late 2020.